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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 16 May 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200059
  1. 19
  2. 26
  3. 27
  4. 41
  5. 46
  6. 4

Jackpot€8,000,000

The crowdHeld 6% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,817 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-05-13All recent draws2020-05-18 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official19 26 27 41 46 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed19 26 27 41 46 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 May 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 33% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd65th
  • low9th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 185 of each

19165times
26189times
27191times
41223times
46

Prize breakdown · 2020-05-16

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.7Mto 778k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • rang612%€435.1K
  • rang836%€1.3M
  • rang927%€979.7K
  • 5 other tiers26%€948.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

176times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 182 of each

4182times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,816 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (19, 26, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 April 2019 — its closest relative in 1,816 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 May 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

159

The numbers add up to 159 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€8,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.1 by chance€115,349
  • rang345≈ 52 by chance€1,251
  • rang4334≈ 467 by chance€608
  • rang52,026≈ 2.2k by chance€59.90
  • rang618,053≈ 20k by chance€24.10
  • rang730,910≈ 31k by chance€10.90
  • rang8281,224≈ 281k by chance€4.70
  • rang9445,328€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 18,053 winners, 10% fewer than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€8,000,000
    rang22€115,349
    rang345€1,251
    rang4334€608
    rang52,026€59.90
    rang618,053€24.10
    rang730,910€10.90
    rang8281,224€4.70
    rang9445,328€2.20