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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 18 March 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200034
  1. 10
  2. 28
  3. 29
  4. 46
  5. 48
  6. 9

Jackpot€16,000,000

The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,792 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-03-16All recent draws2020-03-21 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official10 28 29 46 48 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed10 28 29 46 48 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 March 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.

  • sum88th
  • odd9th
  • low9th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 183 of each

10182times
28178times
29196times
46175times
48

Prize breakdown · 2020-03-18

  • Lines in play≈ 3.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.5Mto 524k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • rang612%€292.2K
  • rang836%€898.6K
  • rang927%€668.1K
  • 4 other tiers25%€635.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

172times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 179 of each

9178times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,791 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 29, 48) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 December 2017 — its closest relative in 1,791 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 March 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

161

The numbers add up to 161 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€16,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.4 by chance€154,600
  • rang323≈ 35 by chance€8,362
  • rang4222≈ 311 by chance€613
  • rang51,212≈ 1.5k by chance€67.10
  • rang611,414≈ 13k by chance€25.60
  • rang720,334≈ 21k by chance€11.10
  • rang8187,211≈ 187k by chance€4.80
  • rang9303,666€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,212 winners, 18% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€16,000,000
    rang20€154,600
    rang323€8,362
    rang4222€613
    rang51,212€67.10
    rang611,414€25.60
    rang720,334€11.10
    rang8187,211€4.80
    rang9303,666€2.20