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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 21 March 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200035
  1. 7
  2. 8
  3. 16
  4. 37
  5. 42
  6. 8

Jackpot€17,000,000

The crowdHeld 3% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,793 of 3,003 under them

← 2020-03-18All recent draws2020-03-23 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official7 8 16 37 42 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed7 8 16 37 42 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 March 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 80% of every possible ticket.

  • sum32th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap77th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 183 of each

7185times
8159times
16199times
37185times
42

Prize breakdown · 2020-03-21

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.1Mto 713k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • rang611%€358.9K
  • rang835%€1.1M
  • rang928%€879.2K
  • 5 other tiers25%€783K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

163times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 179 of each

8162times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,792 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 16, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 December 2018 — its closest relative in 1,792 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 March 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

110

The numbers add up to 110 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€17,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.0 by chance€95,189
  • rang338≈ 48 by chance€1,223
  • rang4342≈ 435 by chance€490
  • rang51,974≈ 2.1k by chance€50.70
  • rang616,848≈ 19k by chance€21.30
  • rang732,379≈ 29k by chance€8.60
  • rang8262,054≈ 262k by chance€4.20
  • rang9399,630€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 32,379 winners, 11% more than the 29k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€17,000,000
    rang22€95,189
    rang338€1,223
    rang4342€490
    rang51,974€50.70
    rang616,848€21.30
    rang732,379€8.60
    rang8262,054€4.20
    rang9399,630€2.20