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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Loto · draw

Monday, 16 March 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200033
  1. 4
  2. 16
  3. 23
  4. 40
  5. 44
  6. 3

Jackpot€15,000,000

The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,791 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-03-14All recent draws2020-03-18 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 16 23 40 44 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 16 23 40 44 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 March 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 83% of every possible ticket.

  • sum53th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 183 of each

4186times
16198times
23191times
40190times
44

Prize breakdown · 2020-03-16

  • Lines in play≈ 2.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.4Mto 547k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • rang611%€268.7K
  • rang835%€829.3K
  • rang930%€715.9K
  • 5 other tiers24%€585.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

180times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 179 of each

3179times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,790 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 16, 40) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 January 2018 — its closest relative in 1,790 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 March 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

127

The numbers add up to 127 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€15,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.4 by chance€71,174
  • rang337≈ 34 by chance€939
  • rang4274≈ 306 by chance€457
  • rang51,480≈ 1.5k by chance€50.50
  • rang612,793≈ 13k by chance€21.00
  • rang722,593≈ 20k by chance€9.20
  • rang8184,297≈ 184k by chance€4.50
  • rang9325,406€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 22,593 winners, 10% more than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€15,000,000
    rang22€71,174
    rang337€939
    rang4274€457
    rang51,480€50.50
    rang612,793€21.00
    rang722,593€9.20
    rang8184,297€4.50
    rang9325,406€2.20