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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 14 March 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200032
  1. 28
  2. 31
  3. 38
  4. 41
  5. 43
  6. 10

Jackpot€14,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,790 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-03-11All recent draws2020-03-16 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official28 31 38 41 43 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed28 31 38 41 43 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 March 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

26oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd65th
  • low1th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread2th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 183 of each

28177times
31180times
38196times
41217times
43

Prize breakdown · 2020-03-14

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.1Mto 714k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • rang613%€518.8K
  • rang838%€1.6M
  • rang921%€877.4K
  • 5 other tiers28%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.23 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

189times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 179 of each

10173times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,789 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (31, 41, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 June 2017 — its closest relative in 1,789 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 March 2020): 38 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

181

The numbers add up to 181 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€14,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.1 by chance€274,497
  • rang332≈ 50 by chance€2,094
  • rang4398≈ 452 by chance€607
  • rang51,584≈ 2.2k by chance€91.10
  • rang617,411≈ 19k by chance€29.80
  • rang723,856≈ 30k by chance€16.90
  • rang8272,245≈ 272k by chance€5.80
  • rang9398,811€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,584 winners, 27% fewer than the 2.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€14,000,000
    rang21€274,497
    rang332€2,094
    rang4398€607
    rang51,584€91.10
    rang617,411€29.80
    rang723,856€16.90
    rang8272,245€5.80
    rang9398,811€2.20