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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 12 February 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200019
  1. 17
  2. 30
  3. 38
  4. 43
  5. 47
  6. 5

Jackpot€6,000,000

The crowdHeld 33% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,777 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-02-10All recent draws2020-02-15 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official17 30 38 43 47 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed17 30 38 43 47 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 February 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 37% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd65th
  • low9th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 181 of each

17178times
30174times
38194times
43188times
47

Prize breakdown · 2020-02-12

  • Lines in play≈ 3.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 656k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • rang611%€320.4K
  • rang834%€985.6K
  • rang932%€932.6K
  • 5 other tiers24%€697.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

167times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 178 of each

5195times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,776 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (30, 38, 43, 47) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 December 2011 — its closest relative in 1,776 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 19% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 February 2020): 38 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

175

The numbers add up to 175 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€6,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.5 by chance€84,798
  • rang335≈ 36 by chance€1,183
  • rang4310≈ 321 by chance€482
  • rang51,514≈ 1.5k by chance€58.90
  • rang612,369≈ 14k by chance€25.90
  • rang724,847≈ 21k by chance€10.00
  • rang8193,251≈ 193k by chance€5.10
  • rang9423,920€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 24,847 winners, 16% more than the 21k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€6,000,000
    rang22€84,798
    rang335€1,183
    rang4310€482
    rang51,514€58.90
    rang612,369€25.90
    rang724,847€10.00
    rang8193,251€5.10
    rang9423,920€2.20