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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 15 February 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200020
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 25
  4. 45
  5. 48
  6. 7

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 38% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,778 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-02-12All recent draws2020-02-17 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 5 25 45 48 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 25 45 48 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 February 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 67% of every possible ticket.

  • sum53th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap73th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 181 of each

4183times
5171times
25173times
45177times
48

Prize breakdown · 2020-02-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€5.7Mto 1.0M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 4lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • rang135%€2.0M
  • rang819%€1.1M
  • rang926%€1.5M
  • 6 other tiers20%€1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

171times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 178 of each

7198times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,777 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 25, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 September 2017 — its closest relative in 1,777 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 February 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

127

The numbers add up to 127 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.1 by chance€192,809
  • rang361≈ 52 by chance€771
  • rang4341≈ 470 by chance€498
  • rang52,894≈ 2.2k by chance€35.00
  • rang618,619≈ 20k by chance€19.60
  • rang747,495≈ 31k by chance€5.90
  • rang8282,950≈ 283k by chance€3.90
  • rang9673,636€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 47,495 winners, 51% more than the 31k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€2,000,000
    rang21€192,809
    rang361€771
    rang4341€498
    rang52,894€35.00
    rang618,619€19.60
    rang747,495€5.90
    rang8282,950€3.90
    rang9673,636€2.20