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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£24,366,380
The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 1,042 of 1,042 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 18 Sept 2026, 21:05 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 September 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 75 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 104 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 174 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,041 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 25, 44) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 26 September 2025 — its closest relative in 1,041 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 124 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →44 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈23M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 1,004 winners, 36% more than the 737 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 976,806 | £2.60 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 505,568 | £3.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 121,940 | £4.10 |
| Match 3 | 74,921 | £5.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 23,445 | £8.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 38,693 | £5.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,505 | £37.80 |
| Match 4 | 1,897 | £21.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,004 | £53.60 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 34 | £859 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £24,366,380 |