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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£24,863,884
The crowdHeld 32% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 872 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 January 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 87 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 145 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 871 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (30, 41, 44) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 17 September 2024 — its closest relative in 871 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 January 2025): 41, 49 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 186 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →44 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈29M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,165 winners, 44% fewer than the 2.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 892,502 | £3.30 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 430,353 | £4.30 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 154,092 | £3.80 |
| Match 3 | 57,187 | £8.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 25,940 | £9.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 26,701 | £9.80 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,514 | £44.20 |
| Match 4 | 1,165 | £40.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 529 | £120 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 28 | £1,228 |
| Match 5 | 3 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £24,863,884 |