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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,268,100
The crowdHeld 14% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 871 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 January 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 87 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 145 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 870 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 37, 49) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 10 August 2021 — its closest relative in 870 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (24 January 2025): 49 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 178 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 41–42. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →9 had not appeared for 42 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 334 winners, 35% fewer than the 517 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 631,428 | £3.40 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 282,713 | £4.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 85,554 | £4.90 |
| Match 3 | 40,350 | £8.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 14,770 | £11.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 17,824 | £10.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 964 | £49.90 |
| Match 4 | 783 | £43.10 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 334 | £136 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 20 | £1,235 |
| Match 5 | 1 | £79,331 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £14,268,100 |