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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£138,628,154
The crowdHeld 45% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 690 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 69 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 115 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 689 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 8, 18) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 6 May 2022 — its closest relative in 689 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (2 May 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 112 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →3 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 567 winners, 48% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 1 | €53,041,075 |
| rang2 | 0 | €157,711 |
| rang3 | 1 | €28,669 |
| rang4 | 13 | €1,165 |
| rang5 | 309 | €117 |
| rang6 | 1,045 | €38.60 |
| rang7 | 567 | €43.60 |
| rang8 | 15,501 | €9.00 |
| rang9 | 14,040 | €10.50 |
| rang10 | 25,799 | €10.00 |
| rang11 | 80,881 | €4.20 |
| rang12 | 203,879 | €5.20 |
| rang13 | 383,065 | €4.10 |