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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£124,819,178
The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 689 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 69 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 115 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 688 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (32, 44, 48) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 1 January 2021 — its closest relative in 688 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 April 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 178 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 47–48. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →48 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 14,938 winners, 16% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €383,454 |
| rang3 | 3 | €29,873 |
| rang4 | 8 | €2,068 |
| rang5 | 170 | €135 |
| rang6 | 392 | €63.70 |
| rang7 | 253 | €52.00 |
| rang8 | 5,403 | €15.60 |
| rang9 | 7,902 | €11.40 |
| rang10 | 14,938 | €10.90 |
| rang11 | 29,624 | €7.20 |
| rang12 | 121,097 | €5.40 |
| rang13 | 226,618 | €4.50 |