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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£47,566,032
The crowdHeld 35% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 552 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 551 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 August 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 551 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 22, 34) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 8 June 2012 — its closest relative in 551 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (16 August 2016): 34 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 92 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →22 had not appeared for 37 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈45M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,843 winners, 41% fewer than the 3.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,275,113 | £2.60 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 771,820 | £4.30 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 287,782 | £4.20 |
| Match 3 | 88,430 | £7.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 60,222 | £7.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 54,007 | £7.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,164 | £22.80 |
| Match 4 | 1,843 | £72.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,083 | £123 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 77 | £1,977 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £50,735 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 9 | £101,470 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £47,566,032 |