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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£18,978,724
The crowdHeld 32% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 510 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 509 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 March 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 51 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 509 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (12, 42) and 2 of 2 stars with the draw of 22 March 2016 — its closest relative in 509 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (22 March 2016): 12, 42 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5, 8 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 152 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →36 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈38M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,658 winners, 37% fewer than the 2.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,127,804 | £3.20 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 612,183 | £5.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 240,487 | £5.50 |
| Match 3 | 76,237 | £9.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 45,365 | £10.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 40,899 | £11.00 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,892 | £35.30 |
| Match 4 | 1,658 | £86.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 941 | £152 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 65 | £2,518 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £54,554 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £327,323 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £18,978,724 |