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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£92,419,192
The crowdHeld 20% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 472 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 471 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 November 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 47 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 471 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 33, 40) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 27 January 2015 — its closest relative in 471 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 November 2015): 18 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2, 8 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 118 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →10 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈75M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 181,843 winners, 21% fewer than the 231k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 2,651,614 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,347,905 | £6.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 482,173 | £6.10 |
| Match 3 | 181,843 | £9.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 93,702 | £11.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 93,404 | £10.80 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 6,538 | £35.10 |
| Match 4 | 4,203 | £76.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 2,144 | £150 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 165 | £2,229 |
| Match 5 | 18 | £40,864 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £441,328 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £92,419,192 |