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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£11,035,500
The crowdHeld 19% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 464 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 463 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 October 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 46 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 463 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (28, 29, 43) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 31 May 2013 — its closest relative in 463 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 October 2015): 29 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 155 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →28 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈24M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,246,368 winners, 19% more than the 1.0M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,246,368 | £3.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 575,082 | £6.50 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 152,561 | £9.00 |
| Match 3 | 81,344 | £9.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 28,313 | £17.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 37,850 | £12.40 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,945 | £54.80 |
| Match 4 | 1,645 | £90.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 730 | £205 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 42 | £4,065 |
| Match 5 | 1 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £11,035,500 |