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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£10,653,000
The crowdHeld 9% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 433 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 432 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 June 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 43 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 432 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 28, 37) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 12 December 2014 — its closest relative in 432 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (26 June 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 125 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →28 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 61,142 winners, 9% more than the 56k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 873,735 | £3.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 419,167 | £6.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 117,039 | £8.30 |
| Match 3 | 61,142 | £9.00 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 21,665 | £15.80 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 29,007 | £11.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,469 | £50.90 |
| Match 4 | 1,355 | £77.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 668 | £157 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 33 | £3,628 |
| Match 5 | 4 | £59,861 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £179,583 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £10,653,000 |