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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£47,789,040
The crowdHeld 20% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 332 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 331 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 July 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 33 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 331 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 38, 49) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 20 June 2014 — its closest relative in 331 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 July 2014): 22 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 4 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 149 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →35 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈39M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,379,958 winners, 20% fewer than the 1.7M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,379,958 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 734,130 | £5.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 251,029 | £6.20 |
| Match 3 | 98,544 | £8.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 44,817 | £12.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 50,710 | £10.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,995 | £40.00 |
| Match 4 | 2,460 | £68.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,254 | £134 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 53 | £3,618 |
| Match 5 | 12 | £31,958 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 6 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £47,789,040 |