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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£93,707,472
The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 297 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 296 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 March 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 66% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 296 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 4, 23) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 11 November 2011 — its closest relative in 296 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 76% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 March 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 8 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 105 — the 23th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →1 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈35M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 65,280 winners, 24% more than the 53k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,704,668 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 935,215 | £4.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 220,943 | £7.60 |
| Match 3 | 120,281 | £8.00 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 42,825 | £14.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 65,280 | £8.80 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,932 | £44.50 |
| Match 4 | 2,768 | £66.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,442 | £127 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 74 | £2,824 |
| Match 5 | 11 | £38,000 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £250,799 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £93,707,472 |