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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£80,738,984
The crowdHeld 27% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 240 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 239 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 August 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 84% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 239 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (26, 30) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 26 March 2013 — its closest relative in 239 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 August 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 8 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 100 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →6 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈56M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 1,279 winners, 34% fewer than the 1.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,787,122 | £2.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 946,497 | £5.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 356,602 | £5.30 |
| Match 3 | 121,096 | £8.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 62,903 | £10.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 62,646 | £10.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,124 | £35.60 |
| Match 4 | 2,564 | £80.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,279 | £161 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 104 | £2,263 |
| Match 5 | 9 | £52,295 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £352,991 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £80,738,984 |