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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£28,309,280
The crowdHeld 26% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 234 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 233 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 August 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 233 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 36, 42) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 2 October 2012 — its closest relative in 233 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 67% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 July 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 184 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 36–37. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →21 had not appeared for 40 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈37M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,721 winners, 33% fewer than the 2.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,204,890 | £3.40 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 647,169 | £6.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 237,626 | £6.20 |
| Match 3 | 80,776 | £10.40 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 40,816 | £12.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 43,525 | £11.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,712 | £42.20 |
| Match 4 | 1,721 | £93.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 867 | £185 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 44 | £4,167 |
| Match 5 | 9 | £40,747 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £275,044 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £28,309,280 |