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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£19,201,364
The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 229 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 228 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 July 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 228 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (19, 23) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 16 November 2012 — its closest relative in 228 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 July 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 173 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →23 had not appeared for 37 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈24M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 586 winners, 30% fewer than the 839 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 948,503 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 450,737 | £5.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 154,386 | £6.30 |
| Match 3 | 63,406 | £8.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 27,666 | £12.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 30,253 | £10.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,856 | £40.30 |
| Match 4 | 1,400 | £74.90 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 586 | £179 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 43 | £2,790 |
| Match 5 | 3 | £79,968 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £239,904 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £19,201,364 |