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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£159,559,040
The crowdHeld 23% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 223 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 222 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 June 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 222 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (13, 27) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 7 May 2013 — its closest relative in 222 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (21 June 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 1, 2 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 84 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈55M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 4,918 winners, 28% more than the 3.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 2,973,400 | £2.40 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,446,703 | £4.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 353,884 | £7.50 |
| Match 3 | 215,973 | £7.00 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 71,774 | £13.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 104,021 | £8.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,934 | £41.50 |
| Match 4 | 4,918 | £58.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 2,438 | £118 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 86 | £3,814 |
| Match 5 | 20 | £32,802 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 8 | £246,016 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2 | £79,779,520 |