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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£21,355,336
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 208 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 207 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 May 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 207 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 5, 40) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 21 December 2012 — its closest relative in 207 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 63% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 April 2013): 40 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 131 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →3 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈28M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,532 winners, 23% fewer than the 2.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,243,191 | £3.30 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 741,927 | £5.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 182,027 | £8.10 |
| Match 3 | 76,664 | £11.00 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 32,779 | £16.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 44,699 | £11.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,969 | £58.00 |
| Match 4 | 1,532 | £104 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 884 | £181 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 33 | £5,541 |
| Match 5 | 8 | £45,711 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £365,684 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £21,355,336 |