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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£44,054,164
The crowdHeld 28% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 166 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 165 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 December 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 17 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 165 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (10, 18) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 30 November 2012 — its closest relative in 165 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (4 December 2012): 10 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 117 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →31 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈50M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,443 winners, 29% fewer than the 3.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,561,249 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 908,786 | £5.30 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 316,475 | £5.60 |
| Match 3 | 107,520 | £9.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 59,254 | £10.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 62,207 | £9.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,034 | £34.20 |
| Match 4 | 2,443 | £79.10 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,358 | £142 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 78 | £2,835 |
| Match 5 | 11 | £40,202 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £331,669 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £44,054,164 |