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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£148,656,000
The crowdHeld 34% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 132 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 131 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 August 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 59% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 131 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (21, 48) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 27 July 2012 — its closest relative in 131 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 August 2012): 50 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 147 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →11 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈78M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 4,598,171 winners, 34% more than the 3.4M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 4,598,171 | £2.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 2,089,032 | £6.30 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 501,558 | £9.80 |
| Match 3 | 307,015 | £9.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 95,192 | £18.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 139,424 | £11.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 6,378 | £59.40 |
| Match 4 | 6,512 | £81.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 2,925 | £182 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 119 | £5,101 |
| Match 5 | 24 | £50,581 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 14 | £1,994,323 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £148,656,000 |