Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£142,677,280
The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 130 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 129 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 August 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 22 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 129 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (24, 46) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 17 July 2012 — its closest relative in 129 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (31 July 2012): 35 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 181 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →34 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈68M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 3,677 winners, 22% fewer than the 4.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 2,765,500 | £3.40 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,412,821 | £6.50 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 431,979 | £7.80 |
| Match 3 | 181,019 | £10.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 75,342 | £15.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 91,150 | £12.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,867 | £53.60 |
| Match 4 | 3,677 | £99.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,869 | £196 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 102 | £4,100 |
| Match 5 | 11 | £76,028 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £501,783 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £142,677,280 |