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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£32,812,560
The crowdHeld 4% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 121 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 120 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 July 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 84% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 12 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 120 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 22, 27) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 20 January 2012 — its closest relative in 120 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 44% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 June 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 98 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →2 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈27M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,192 winners, 18% more than the 1.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,124,961 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 587,693 | £5.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 170,300 | £6.40 |
| Match 3 | 84,140 | £7.40 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 33,570 | £11.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 42,348 | £8.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,389 | £35.30 |
| Match 4 | 2,192 | £54.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,067 | £111 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 51 | £2,653 |
| Match 5 | 11 | £24,599 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £202,942 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £32,812,560 |