Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£41,738,265
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 42 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 41 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 September 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 41 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 28, 31) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 9 September 2011 — its closest relative in 41 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 18% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (27 September 2011): 28 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 123 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →15 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈42M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 3,657 winners, 25% more than the 2.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,879,615 | £2.60 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 881,594 | £5.50 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 268,767 | £6.60 |
| Match 3 | 137,229 | £7.40 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 51,204 | £12.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 65,057 | £9.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,663 | £37.70 |
| Match 4 | 3,657 | £52.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,610 | £120 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 99 | £2,232 |
| Match 5 | 24 | £18,416 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 6 | £220,986 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3 | £13,912,755 |