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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£126,867,264
The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 36 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 35 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 September 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 95% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 35 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (28, 31) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 19 August 2011 — its closest relative in 35 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (6 September 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 119 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →21 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈56M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 1,411,915 winners, 14% more than the 1.2M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 2,788,409 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,411,915 | £5.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 359,818 | £7.60 |
| Match 3 | 188,996 | £8.20 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 68,436 | £14.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 94,359 | £9.80 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,580 | £45.90 |
| Match 4 | 3,903 | £75.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,992 | £148 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 91 | £3,701 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £112,266 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £404,157 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £126,867,264 |