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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£111,920,464
The crowdHeld 2% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 35 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 34 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 September 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 20 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 34 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (42, 50) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 23 August 2011 — its closest relative in 34 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (2 September 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 222 — the 100th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 47–48. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →47 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈31M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,880 winners, 12% fewer than the 2.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,314,112 | £3.30 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 710,704 | £6.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 196,107 | £8.10 |
| Match 3 | 87,740 | £10.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 36,114 | £15.60 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 47,146 | £11.40 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,838 | £43.20 |
| Match 4 | 1,880 | £91.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 999 | £172 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 75 | £2,621 |
| Match 5 | 10 | £39,321 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 6 | £196,606 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £111,920,464 |