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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£120,687,896
The crowdHeld 3% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 15 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 14 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 June 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 58% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 14 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (16, 30) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 24 June 2011 — its closest relative in 14 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 65% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (24 June 2011): 16, 30 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 155 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →15 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈38M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 2,756 winners, 14% fewer than the 3.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,710,076 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 929,074 | £5.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 240,973 | £7.30 |
| Match 3 | 112,005 | £8.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 44,000 | £14.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 58,513 | £10.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,756 | £49.30 |
| Match 4 | 2,395 | £79.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,157 | £165 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 51 | £4,269 |
| Match 5 | 9 | £48,382 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £261,260 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £120,687,896 |