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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£25,227,296
The crowdHeld 9% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 378 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 377 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 May 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 25 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 38 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 377 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 20, 22) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 29 October 2010 — its closest relative in 377 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 April 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 97 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →16 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈42M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 3,810 winners, 46% more than the 2.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,191,381 | £5.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 410,991 | £6.90 |
| Match 3 | 152,321 | £8.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 84,572 | £14.80 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 93,092 | £15.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 6,446 | £44.10 |
| Match 4 | 3,810 | £52.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 2,244 | £127 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 149 | £2,867 |
| Match 5 | 19 | £31,472 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 14 | — |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £25,227,296 |