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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£53,278,316
The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 369 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 368 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 March 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 64% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 37 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 368 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 25, 41) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 28 November 2008 — its closest relative in 368 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (25 February 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 132 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →25 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈67M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 3,032 winners, 27% fewer than the 4.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,557,991 | £5.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 656,444 | £5.60 |
| Match 3 | 150,578 | £11.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 127,317 | £12.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 107,155 | £17.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 8,636 | £42.70 |
| Match 4 | 3,032 | £85.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 2,087 | £177 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 186 | £2,979 |
| Match 5 | 10 | — |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 12 | £227,826 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £53,278,316 |