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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£12,454,500
The crowdHeld 3% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 344 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 343 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 September 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 343 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (17, 35, 41, 45) and 2 of 2 stars with the draw of 4 May 2007 — its closest relative in 343 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 3.6% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 September 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 159 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →17 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈38M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 1,746 winners, 12% more than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,011,903 | £6.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 367,203 | £7.20 |
| Match 3 | 99,911 | £12.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 71,685 | £16.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 71,641 | £18.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,872 | £54.00 |
| Match 4 | 2,411 | £76.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,746 | £151 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 251 | £1,572 |
| Match 5 | 13 | £42,504 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 6 | — |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £12,454,500 |