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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£26,151,124
The crowdHeld 2% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 310 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 309 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 January 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 33% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 309 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (26, 29, 49, 50) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 25 May 2007 — its closest relative in 309 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 3.2% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 January 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 165 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 49–50. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →50 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈52M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 2,773 winners, 30% more than the 2.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,316,420 | £6.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 503,851 | £6.60 |
| Match 3 | 137,239 | £11.40 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 96,337 | £15.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 91,899 | £18.40 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 7,815 | £42.60 |
| Match 4 | 3,255 | £71.60 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 2,773 | £120 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 157 | £3,185 |
| Match 5 | 14 | £50,000 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 12 | — |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2 | £13,075,562 |