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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€10,000,000
The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022draw 332 of 389 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 331 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 75 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 33 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 331 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 24, 44) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 22 March 2019 — its closest relative in 331 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (5 February 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (38% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 128 — the 50th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →44 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈28M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 68,140 winners, 16% fewer than the 81k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 588,195 | €7.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 217,025 | €7.90 |
| Match 3 | 68,140 | €13.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 43,869 | €15.60 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 43,162 | €15.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,143 | €42.10 |
| Match 4 | 1,581 | €97.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,093 | €182 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 78 | €2,832 |
| Match 5 | 4 | €165,679 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 6 | €312,949 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €10,000,000 |