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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€58,807,428
The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022draw 315 of 389 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 314 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 314 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (35, 44, 50) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 3 November 2017 — its closest relative in 314 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 78% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (9 October 2020): 11 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (38% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 145 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →44 had not appeared for 36 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈24M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 80,901 winners, 16% more than the 70k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 643,114 | €8.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 188,029 | €12.10 |
| Match 3 | 80,901 | €15.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 35,078 | €25.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 43,208 | €20.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,396 | €73.50 |
| Match 4 | 1,670 | €123 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 893 | €296 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 51 | €5,760 |
| Match 5 | 6 | €146,890 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | €2,497,132 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | €58,807,428 |