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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€49,850,407
The crowdHeld 13% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022draw 209 of 389 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 208 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 208 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 32, 44) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 17 August 2018 — its closest relative in 208 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 63% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 September 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (38% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 152 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →15 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈28M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 64,815 winners, 19% fewer than the 81k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 570,657 | €7.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 216,385 | €8.30 |
| Match 3 | 64,815 | €15.40 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 40,871 | €17.60 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 40,660 | €17.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,838 | €49.00 |
| Match 4 | 1,493 | €109 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 893 | €234 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 88 | €2,638 |
| Match 5 | 8 | €87,055 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | €493,313 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €49,850,407 |