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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€15,496,491
The crowdHeld 16% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022draw 109 of 389 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 108 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 November 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 108 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (14, 16) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 21 October 2016 — its closest relative in 108 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 October 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (38% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 117 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15, 15–16. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →22 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 322,492 winners, 16% more than the 277k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 322,492 | €9.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 90,991 | €13.00 |
| Match 3 | 39,241 | €16.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 17,216 | €27.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 20,283 | €22.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,104 | €82.90 |
| Match 4 | 815 | €131 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 401 | €343 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 26 | €5,872 |
| Match 5 | 4 | €114,510 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | €432,594 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €15,496,491 |