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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Bonoloto · draw
ResultBonoloto
Jackpot€400,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,833 of 4,833 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 19 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 September 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 592 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 4,832 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (16, 24, 41, 49) with the draw of 23 June 2026 — its closest relative in 4,832 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 173 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →41 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,608 winners, 14% fewer than the 4.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | €0.00 |
| 5+C | 1 | €139,416 |
| 5 | 66 | €1,056 |
| 4 | 3,608 | €28.98 |
| 3 | 70,649 | €4.00 |
| R | 436,293 | €0.50 |