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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Bonoloto · draw
ResultBonoloto
Jackpot€1,000,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,832 of 4,832 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 18 Sept 2026, 20:10 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 September 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 18 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 592 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 4,831 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 5, 9, 45) with the draw of 18 February 2026 — its closest relative in 4,831 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 September 2026): 3, 18 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 81 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →45 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈7.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 7,681 winners, 14% more than the 6.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1 | €1,187,584 |
| 5+C | 0 | €0.00 |
| 5 | 135 | €1,674 |
| 4 | 7,681 | €14.72 |
| 3 | 113,485 | €4.00 |
| R | 532,618 | €0.50 |