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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 16 January 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 9
  4. 13
  5. 26
  6. 38
  7. 8
  8. 31

Jackpot€9,300,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,860 of 4,854 under them

← 2024-01-15All recent draws2024-01-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 9 13 26 38 + 8 3129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 January 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread52th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 473 of each

1473times
3463times
9471times
13471times
26

Prize breakdown · 2024-01-16

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.8Mto 1.1M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.81

Where the money went

  • 5+C15%€275.4K
  • 340%€731.9K
  • R26%€473.9K
  • 2 other tiers19%€344.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.81 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

459times
38455times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,859 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 13, 26, 38) with the draw of 25 July 2020 — its closest relative in 3,859 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 January 2024): 9 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

90

The numbers add up to 90 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 29% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
6≈ 9.7 by chance
€45,903
  • 5192≈ 198 by chance€717
  • 410,828≈ 11k by chance€19.08
  • 3182,981≈ 199k by chance€4.00
  • R947,725€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 182,981 winners, 8% fewer than the 199k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C6€45,903
    5192€717
    410,828€19.08
    3182,981€4.00
    R947,725€0.50