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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 15 January 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 10
  3. 20
  4. 24
  5. 27
  6. 31
  7. 7
  8. 34

Jackpot€8,700,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,859 of 4,854 under them

← 2024-01-14All recent draws2024-01-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 10 20 24 27 31 + 7 3429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 January 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 472 of each

9470times
10500times
20492times
24482times
27

Prize breakdown · 2024-01-15

  • Lines in play≈ 9.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.7Mto 1.0M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.69

Where the money went

  • 5+C16%€267.7K
  • 338%€631.3K
  • R26%€439.0K
  • 2 other tiers20%€334.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.69 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

492times
31474times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,858 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 20, 27, 31) with the draw of 16 February 2023 — its closest relative in 3,858 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 January 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

121

The numbers add up to 121 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 30% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5≈ 8.3 by chance
€53,543
  • 5159≈ 171 by chance€842
  • 48,673≈ 9.4k by chance€23.15
  • 3157,813≈ 171k by chance€4.00
  • R878,046€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 157,813 winners, 8% fewer than the 171k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C5€53,543
    5159€842
    48,673€23.15
    3157,813€4.00
    R878,046€0.50