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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Bonoloto · draw
ResultBonoloto
Jackpot€10,200,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,861 of 4,854 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 January 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 51% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 473 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,860 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 13, 18, 43) with the draw of 29 December 2022 — its closest relative in 3,860 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (16 January 2024): 13 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 157 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →43 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 36% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 196,396 winners, 8% fewer than the 213k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1 | €10,614,854 |
| 5+C | 4 | €78,400 |
| 5 | 213 | €736 |
| 4 | 11,020 | €21.34 |
| 3 | 196,396 | €4.00 |
| R | 1,038,960 | €0.50 |