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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Sunday, 14 January 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 19
  3. 35
  4. 40
  5. 47
  6. 49
  7. 2
  8. 38

Jackpot€8,100,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,858 of 4,854 under them

← 2024-01-13All recent draws2024-01-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 19 35 40 47 49 + 2 3829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 January 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 472 of each

16477times
19469times
35481times
40507times
47

Prize breakdown · 2024-01-14

  • Lines in play≈ 6.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.2Mto 786k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.48

Where the money went

  • 5+C17%€212.2K
  • 335%€433.8K
  • R27%€335.7K
  • 2 other tiers21%€265.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.48 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

477times
49483times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,857 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (19, 35, 47, 49) with the draw of 3 December 2023 — its closest relative in 3,857 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 January 2024): 49 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

206

The numbers add up to 206 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 52% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • 5+C1≈ 5.7 by chance€212,228
  • 5130≈ 117 by chance€816
  • 45,888≈ 6.5k by chance€27.03
  • 3108,448≈ 118k by chance€4.00
  • R671,331€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,888 winners, 9% fewer than the 6.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€212,228
    5130€816
    45,888€27.03
    3108,448€4.00
    R671,331€0.50