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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 14 August 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 24
  2. 25
  3. 27
  4. 31
  5. 39
  6. 41
  7. 4
  8. 47

Jackpot€500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,705 of 4,858 under them

← 2023-08-13All recent draws2023-08-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed24 25 27 31 39 41 + 4 4729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

25oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 25 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.

  • sum87th
  • odd94th
  • low20th
  • widest gap5th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 454 of each

24463times
25470times
27474times
31455times
39

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-14

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€550.7Kto 69k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€127.9K
  • 417%€95.9K
  • 348%€263K
  • 1 other tier12%€63.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.29 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

463times
41448times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,704 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (24, 31, 39, 41) with the draw of 7 March 2020 — its closest relative in 3,704 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

187

The numbers add up to 187 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.5 by chance
€127,864
  • 574≈ 71 by chance€864
  • 43,316≈ 3.9k by chance€28.92
  • 365,743≈ 71k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,316 winners, 15% fewer than the 3.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€127,864
    574€864
    43,316€28.92
    365,743€4.00
    R0€0.50