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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Sunday, 13 August 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 10
  3. 16
  4. 30
  5. 45
  6. 49
  7. 8
  8. 27

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,704 of 4,858 under them

← 2023-08-12All recent draws2023-08-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 10 16 30 45 49 + 8 2729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

83oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 83 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.

  • sum61th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 453 of each

9447times
10478times
16455times
30449times
45

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-13

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€474.1Kto 62k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.26

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€105.4K
  • 417%€79K
  • 350%€237.1K
  • 1 other tier11%€52.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.26 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

476times
49467times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,703 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 10, 16, 45) with the draw of 14 September 2022 — its closest relative in 3,703 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 August 2023): 30, 49 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

159

The numbers add up to 159 — the 60th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 45% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
4≈ 3.1 by chance
€26,338
  • 559≈ 64 by chance€893
  • 43,164≈ 3.5k by chance€24.97
  • 359,270≈ 64k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,164 winners, 10% fewer than the 3.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C4€26,338
    559€893
    43,164€24.97
    359,270€4.00
    R0€0.50