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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 15 August 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 4
  3. 7
  4. 9
  5. 34
  6. 41
  7. 2
  8. 23

Jackpot€800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,706 of 4,858 under them

← 2023-08-14All recent draws2023-08-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 4 7 9 34 41 + 2 2329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum5th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap94th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 454 of each

2458times
4438times
7416times
9448times
34

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-15

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 61k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • 667%€906.2K
  • 511%€144.4K
  • 317%€230.2K
  • 1 other tier5.3%€72.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.25 by chance€906,173

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

454times
41449times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,705 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 9, 34, 41) with the draw of 20 December 2021 — its closest relative in 3,705 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 August 2023): 41 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

97

The numbers add up to 97 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 32% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • 5+C0≈ 3.0 by chanceno winners
  • 554≈ 62 by chance€2,675
  • 42,951≈ 3.4k by chance€24.47
  • 357,540≈ 62k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 2,951 winners, 14% fewer than the 3.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€906,173
    5+C0€0.00
    554€2,675
    42,951€24.47
    357,540€4.00
    R0€0.50