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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 12 August 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 17
  3. 24
  4. 30
  5. 42
  6. 49
  7. 7
  8. 8

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,703 of 4,858 under them

← 2023-08-11All recent draws2023-08-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 17 24 30 42 49 + 7 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread95th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 453 of each

3444times
17427times
24462times
30448times
42

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-12

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€928.2Kto 77k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • 638%€350.7K
  • 5+C14%€127.5K
  • 331%€290.5K
  • 2 other tiers17%€159.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.32 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

456times
49466times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,702 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (24, 30, 42, 49) with the draw of 9 March 2015 — its closest relative in 3,702 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 August 2023): 17 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

165

The numbers add up to 165 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€350,729
  • 5+C2≈ 3.8 by chance€63,769
  • 578≈ 79 by chance€818
  • 44,115≈ 4.3k by chance€23.25
  • 372,633≈ 79k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 72,633 winners, 8% fewer than the 79k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€350,729
    5+C2€63,769
    578€818
    44,115€23.25
    372,633€4.00
    R0€0.50